Nomura's latest economic analysis reveals a nuanced outlook for India's fiscal trajectory, projecting a moderation in growth during the first half of FY27 attributable to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and subsequent supply chain disruptions. However, the investment bank anticipates a substantial rebound in the second half, driven by stabilizing global conditions and domestic demand recovery. The full-year GDP growth forecast stands at 6.8%, reflecting India's resilience amid international headwinds and its potential for sustained expansion.

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