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Citi, others dial back India rate hike calls as inflation expected to stay moderate

  • Posted on July 14, 2026
  • By Business News Today
  • 1 Views
  • 1 min read
In brief

Major financial institutions including Citi are reassessing their monetary policy forecasts for India's central bank. Recent inflation data showing June retail prices at 4.38% combined with stable core inflation around 4% has prompted economists to extend their timelines for anticipated interest rate increases. The Reserve Bank of India appears poised to maintain its current policy stance, with rate adjustments now contingent upon core inflation sustaining levels above 4.5%. This recalibration reflects growing confidence in India's inflation management trajectory.

Summary auto-generated by AI from the original publisher's content. Editorial standards.

Citi, others dial back India rate hike calls as inflation expected to stay moderate
Citi, others dial back India rate hike calls as inflation expected to stay moderate

Controlled inflation prompts economists to delay interest rate hike expectations. Retail inflation rose to 4.38% in June, exceeding the RBI's target. Core inflation remained around 4%, suggesting a lower annual average. This shift means the Reserve Bank of India may not tighten policy soon. Future rate hikes depend on sustained core inflation above 4.5%.
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Author
Business News Today

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